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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 11:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$7.7K$6.1K
Holders237−87324
Trades2.0K−1.2K3.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+10.0 pp
41.7%
Avg ROI2.0%
−5.2 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−19.89×
×20.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−15.45×
×16.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.2K
+$6.7K
$5.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL38.1%
+133.4 pp
-95.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−84.5 pp
84.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
+10.9 pp
27.6%
Bot %60.4%
+18.6 pp
41.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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