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Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4PM ET

data as of 2026-02-04 21:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$3.0K$6.3K
Holders76+2254
Trades896+364532
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−11.0 pp
59.4%
Avg ROI23.5%
+23.4 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.46×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×103.10
+102.45×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$7
$11
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.1%
−155.5 pp
56.3%
Underwater %98.9%
+95.6 pp
3.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.5%
−33.9 pp
83.4%
Bot %49.5%
−33.5 pp
83.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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