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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 5?

data as of 2025-12-04 21:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$270−$37K$38K
Holders75−32107
Trades370+42328
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−15.3 pp
57.3%
Avg ROI12.1%
+11.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.81
+0.83×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.81
+0.83×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$234
$240
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-46.5%
−48.5 pp
2.0%
Underwater %85.0%
+83.6 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.6%
+12.8 pp
71.7%
Bot %27.4%
−44.3 pp
71.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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