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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

data as of 2025-11-15 11:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$1.2K$22K
Holders144+6084
Trades824+236588
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.8%
−20.5 pp
58.3%
Avg ROI9.4%
+3.3 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.78
+45.25×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
−$1.0K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−185.8 pp
88.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.2%
−19.0 pp
60.2%
Bot %18.3%
+6.7 pp
11.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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