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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-30 03:23 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$58K+$31K$27K
Holders351+71280
Trades4.4K−5745.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.9%
+9.7 pp
43.2%
Avg ROI-1.4%
+0.3 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−41.91×
×42.46
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.56
−39.55×
×40.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.5K
+$10.0K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.08
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL76.8%
+174.1 pp
-97.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.7 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.1%
−14.3 pp
48.5%
Bot %46.0%
−17.7 pp
63.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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