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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

data as of 2026-04-01 20:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$22K$5.1K
Holders228−103331
Trades2.3K−72.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.8%
+13.7 pp
42.1%
Avg ROI1.3%
+2.6 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−12.39×
×13.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−8.17×
×8.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.8K
+$6.0K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.2%
+130.6 pp
-90.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.4 pp
96.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %88.8%
+3.9 pp
85.0%
Bot %89.3%
+4.8 pp
84.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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