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Will the fight be won by submission?

data as of 2026-07-24 22:30 UTC◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
49¢
NO
45¢
YES
49¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$203$206
Holders1−910
Trades1−1920
NO
45¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−0.9 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI0.5%
−3.3 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.07×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.09×
×1.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$2
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
+8.0 pp
-8.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+21.3 pp
78.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−3.8 pp
3.8%
Bot %0.0%
−7.8 pp
7.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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