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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 17:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K−$12K$31K
Holders297−62359
Trades4.4K+7963.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
+0.8 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI3.3%
+0.7 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.94
+8.42×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.81
+8.31×
×0.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.3K
−$11.5K
$29.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.6%
−183.5 pp
94.9%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.0%
+1.2 pp
35.8%
Bot %56.1%
+11.6 pp
44.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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