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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 2?

data as of 2026-04-02 20:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$669−$2.1K$2.7K
Holders86+581
Trades565+48517
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−19.5 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI1.8%
+0.9 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.79
+1.01×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.47
+0.62×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$5
$6
Recent buyer dominance0.58
+0.07
0.51
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-35.8%
−52.8 pp
17.0%
Underwater %74.1%
+56.0 pp
18.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
+19.7 pp
23.5%
Bot %43.2%
+19.8 pp
23.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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