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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-07 04:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$54K$66K
Holders367−25392
Trades4.5K−4144.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−13.5 pp
58.6%
Avg ROI0.2%
−1.2 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.00
+19.23×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.04
+17.32×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$17.7K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.11
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.2%
−132.9 pp
37.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
−5.8 pp
84.4%
Bot %78.5%
−5.9 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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