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Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?

data as of 2026-05-21 00:49 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.3K−$2.9K$9.2K
Holders24−1539
Trades697+273424
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.0%
−1.2 pp
64.2%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−1.2 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−2.93×
×3.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−2.90×
×3.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.8K
−$3.6K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.03
−0.97
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL111.3%
+180.9 pp
-69.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.7 pp
95.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.7%
−1.5 pp
80.2%
Bot %78.7%
+19.6 pp
59.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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