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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?

data as of 2026-05-05 00:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.0K−$702$1.7K
Holders84+1866
Trades535+209326
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.7%
−17.4 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI6.7%
−4.4 pp
11.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.00
+29.31×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.29
+39.67×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27
−$384
$411
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−165.0 pp
67.6%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.0%
+13.5 pp
11.5%
Bot %30.2%
+18.7 pp
11.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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