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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.5K+$276$5.3K
Holders114−27141
Trades1.5K+1591.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
+0.7 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−0.8 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−24.73×
×25.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−22.24×
×22.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.1K
+$422
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL95.0%
+190.8 pp
-95.9%
Underwater %0.4%
−99.3 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.8%
−1.5 pp
59.3%
Bot %74.3%
−5.5 pp
79.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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