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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2025-10-16 07:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$6.9K$5.7K
Holders44+737
Trades258+57201
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.4%
+10.4 pp
58.0%
Avg ROI0.7%
−4.1 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−16.12×
×16.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−11.94×
×12.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.8K
+$4.3K
$511
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.7%
+138.8 pp
-92.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.7%
+7.9 pp
42.8%
Bot %44.9%
+4.8 pp
40.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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