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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 13:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K−$19K$28K
Holders351+4347
Trades3.0K+7802.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−9.2 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.4 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.41
+21.74×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.17
+21.47×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.7K
−$17.6K
$26.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−134.9 pp
40.0%
Underwater %90.9%
+90.2 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.9%
−2.3 pp
43.2%
Bot %59.7%
−7.4 pp
67.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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