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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 04:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.6K−$19K$22K
Holders308+47261
Trades1.6K+2621.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−5.2 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−1.1 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.00
+9.27×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.10
+8.33×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.3K
−$11.5K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.1%
−118.3 pp
28.3%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.8%
−11.9 pp
38.7%
Bot %48.3%
−16.7 pp
65.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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