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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 19?

data as of 2026-03-19 02:35 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$279−$9.0K$9.2K
Holders82+379
Trades598+240358
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.1%
−57.8 pp
86.0%
Avg ROI25.0%
+23.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.02
+18.03×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.65
+16.67×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$2.9K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.20
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−98.1 pp
2.3%
Underwater %79.2%
+79.1 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.5%
+17.2 pp
11.4%
Bot %29.6%
+18.4 pp
11.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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