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Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?

data as of 2026-07-24 04:10 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
6¢
NO
45¢
YES
6¢
YesY-NNo
Position$809+$175$634
Holders31+256
Trades94+7618
NO
45¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate20.8%
−16.0 pp
36.8%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−8.1 pp
7.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.50
+9.69×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.49
+8.69×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.0K
+$438
$578
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.22
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.7%
−115.7 pp
25.9%
Underwater %98.4%
+98.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.8%
+6.8 pp
0.0%
Bot %21.3%
+21.1 pp
0.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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