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Will Mapi Ioteva win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

data as of 2026-07-18 14:19 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 12, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
22¢
NO
78¢
YES
22¢
YesY-NNo
Position$24−$37$61
Holders505
Trades9+36
NO
78¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate75.2%
+75.2 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI10.0%
+10.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$11
$16
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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