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Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

data as of 2025-10-14 05:33 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$71−$3.5K$3.5K
Holders45+738
Trades372+213159
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.5%
+7.1 pp
33.3%
Avg ROI-0.6%
+3.7 pp
-4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.05
+0.05×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$20
$20
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.9%
−4.9 pp
0.0%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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