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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 14:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$15K$7.7K
Holders352+14338
Trades3.1K−73.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−0.8 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI-3.2%
−4.3 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−7.89×
×8.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−8.44×
×9.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.6K
+$7.1K
$7.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.10
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.0%
+146.3 pp
-89.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.2 pp
99.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
−1.2 pp
44.4%
Bot %57.5%
−0.1 pp
57.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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