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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

data as of 2026-05-09 04:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.2K−$8.5K$17K
Holders322−2324
Trades2.6K+2682.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.5%
+5.9 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.8 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.51
+27.84×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.05
+34.35×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$5.6K
$13.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.06
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−142.9 pp
46.1%
Underwater %95.6%
+95.1 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.5%
−14.9 pp
62.4%
Bot %50.6%
−15.1 pp
65.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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