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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 15:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$20K$31K
Holders382+32350
Trades3.0K+6122.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−4.7 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI6.1%
+5.4 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.57
+2.77×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.58
+2.78×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.8K
−$18.3K
$28.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.0%
−92.4 pp
22.4%
Underwater %93.7%
+88.7 pp
5.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.1%
+2.7 pp
50.3%
Bot %73.4%
−1.2 pp
74.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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