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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4PM ET

data as of 2026-06-25 20:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$17K$4.2K
Holders81+1665
Trades932−1071.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
+2.4 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI0.6%
+1.1 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
−0.09×
×1.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.22×
×1.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
+$372
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.8%
+21.7 pp
-20.9%
Underwater %64.5%
−14.0 pp
78.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−6.2 pp
55.0%
Bot %76.4%
−0.1 pp
76.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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