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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 20?

data as of 2026-05-20 11:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$331−$2.5K$2.8K
Holders90+2961
Trades396+45351
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.4%
−38.4 pp
69.8%
Avg ROI7.8%
+3.8 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.00
+8.09×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.77
+8.85×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$386
$396
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.1%
−100.3 pp
10.2%
Underwater %98.4%
+93.4 pp
4.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.3%
−12.7 pp
27.0%
Bot %20.2%
−6.9 pp
27.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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