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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 18?

data as of 2026-01-19 02:27 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$10−$4.5K$4.5K
Holders26−110136
Trades205+52153
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.5%
−67.7 pp
95.2%
Avg ROI22.1%
+22.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.32
+0.32×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$102
$102
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-37.2%
−37.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %15.7%
−72.4 pp
88.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.3%
+4.5 pp
7.8%
Bot %12.3%
+4.3 pp
7.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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