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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 00:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$15K$31K
Holders377+27350
Trades3.0K+2522.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−3.7 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI19.9%
+19.0 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.33
+2.60×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.29
+2.54×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.0K
−$14.6K
$29.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.0%
−111.0 pp
38.0%
Underwater %95.1%
+95.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.3%
−10.0 pp
41.3%
Bot %25.6%
−22.0 pp
47.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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