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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 11:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.6K−$10.0K$13K
Holders278−24302
Trades1.7K+4601.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−4.6 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI1.8%
−1.2 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.00
+14.23×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.33
+14.58×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
−$2.3K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.11
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−134.7 pp
39.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.2%
−13.3 pp
33.5%
Bot %41.9%
−10.2 pp
52.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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