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Will Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

data as of 2026-05-23 10:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$242−$5.5K$5.7K
Holders38−1351
Trades286+105181
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−38.7 pp
86.6%
Avg ROI7.0%
+6.3 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.19
+29.26×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.08
+23.15×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$253
$254
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−102.8 pp
7.1%
Underwater %97.7%
+96.8 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.8%
−19.3 pp
56.1%
Bot %37.3%
−21.1 pp
58.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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