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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 20:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K−$15K$24K
Holders243+37206
Trades2.6K−1262.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−9.9 pp
59.1%
Avg ROI3.2%
+4.0 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.37
+25.61×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.31
+29.55×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$788
−$9.9K
$10.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.04
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−130.5 pp
34.0%
Underwater %98.9%
+90.6 pp
8.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.2%
−17.0 pp
84.3%
Bot %66.6%
−16.0 pp
82.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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