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Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on July 15?

data as of 2026-07-15 19:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1+$1$0
Holders5+50
Trades8+71
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
+53.3 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI3.6%
+3.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+1.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.39
+9.39×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$26
−$26
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.4%
−89.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %23.9%
+23.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.7%
+82.7 pp
0.0%
Bot %79.4%
+79.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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