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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 23?

data as of 2026-03-20 08:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$64−$11K$11K
Holders32−5284
Trades340+97243
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate83.4%
+9.0 pp
74.4%
Avg ROI3.8%
+3.6 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.11
+1.12×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$561
$573
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-52.6%
−53.7 pp
1.1%
Underwater %83.7%
+80.6 pp
3.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %98.5%
+24.1 pp
74.4%
Bot %98.5%
+24.1 pp
74.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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