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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K−$11K$20K
Holders333−93426
Trades3.2K+4312.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.8%
+6.7 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI1.8%
−1.0 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.26
−71.56×
×71.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.35
−67.38×
×67.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.2K
−$12.7K
$19.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.08
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL199.7%
+298.1 pp
-98.4%
Underwater %0.7%
−93.7 pp
94.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.7%
−3.3 pp
28.9%
Bot %45.0%
−3.5 pp
48.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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