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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on January 7?

data as of 2026-01-05 11:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18−$11K$11K
Holders25+421
Trades80+5228
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.0%
+40.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI10.4%
+10.4 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.32
+0.32×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.41
+0.41×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$58
$59
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-29.1%
−29.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.8%
−49.2 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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