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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

data as of 2026-05-13 08:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$14K$4.3K
Holders288−89377
Trades2.3K−3102.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.5%
+11.4 pp
42.1%
Avg ROI-0.1%
+2.5 pp
-2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−8.70×
×9.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−6.55×
×7.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
+$12.1K
$3.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.4%
+119.0 pp
-89.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.6 pp
97.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.5%
+10.8 pp
53.7%
Bot %77.4%
+12.5 pp
64.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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