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XRP Up or Down - July 1, 4PM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 20:36 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$110−$384$494
Holders14+113
Trades145+9451
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+3.4 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.7 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.75
+1.79×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.44
+2.52×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$223
$230
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.09
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.9%
−79.7 pp
8.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+86.1 pp
13.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %98.6%
+30.2 pp
68.4%
Bot %98.6%
+30.2 pp
68.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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