Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on June 17?

data as of 2026-06-17 08:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$65−$1.7K$1.7K
Holders43−649
Trades137−35172
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−33.6 pp
83.8%
Avg ROI8.2%
+4.0 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.10
+2.13×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.07
+2.10×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$272
$279
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.11
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-66.2%
−68.9 pp
2.6%
Underwater %78.3%
+55.6 pp
22.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.8%
+24.4 pp
7.4%
Bot %34.0%
+26.9 pp
7.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse