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Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

data as of 2026-03-08 21:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$25K−$589K$613K
Holders770+146624
Trades19K+6.3K13K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−34.3 pp
75.1%
Avg ROI9.5%
+5.6 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.74
+2.76×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.08
+3.11×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$147
−$9.8K
$10.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.7%
−77.1 pp
3.4%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.3 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.2%
−46.2 pp
60.4%
Bot %13.7%
−46.7 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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