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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 25?

data as of 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$128−$5.7K$5.9K
Holders62−2284
Trades685+343342
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.5%
−38.9 pp
76.4%
Avg ROI16.1%
+17.7 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.18
+1.21×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.32
+1.35×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$220
$232
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.17
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.9%
−60.8 pp
2.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+95.8 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
+30.7 pp
5.0%
Bot %45.7%
+40.2 pp
5.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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