Markets › detail

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2025-10-04 06:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.4K−$1.5K$2.9K
Holders12+66
Trades173+60113
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.7%
−9.2 pp
39.8%
Avg ROI3.2%
+8.3 pp
-5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.73
+0.98×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.73
+0.92×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$118
−$253
$371
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-42.2%
−65.4 pp
23.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+76.8 pp
23.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %94.1%
−4.4 pp
98.6%
Bot %94.1%
−4.4 pp
98.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse