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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?

data as of 2026-04-02 08:30 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.1K−$1.0K$6.1K
Holders223+1222
Trades1.8K+6191.2K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−1.5 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI9.5%
−3.0 pp
12.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.32
−49.58×
×49.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−51.10×
×51.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$316
+$311
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.03
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL167.1%
+265.4 pp
-98.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.2%
−1.0 pp
30.1%
Bot %30.2%
−2.2 pp
32.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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