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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-04 12:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$21K$44K
Holders391+79312
Trades5.3K−1315.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−9.1 pp
59.5%
Avg ROI2.9%
+3.5 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.44
+10.82×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.61
+9.95×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
−$15.7K
$17.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.04
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−141.2 pp
50.0%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.5%
+1.0 pp
75.5%
Bot %75.1%
+1.1 pp
74.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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