Markets › detail

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

data as of 2026-06-20 15:16 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
79¢
NO
20¢
YES
79¢
YesY-NNo
Position$61K+$20K$41K
Holders315+12303
Trades8.8K−6729.4K
NO
20¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+0.5 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI13.4%
−0.7 pp
14.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−0.99×
×1.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−0.98×
×1.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$447
+$170
$276
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.15
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL41.5%
+86.5 pp
-45.0%
Underwater %12.5%
−69.3 pp
81.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.2%
−1.7 pp
26.8%
Bot %32.7%
−1.7 pp
34.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse