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Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?

data as of 2026-01-13 13:30 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$45K+$33K$12K
Holders166+29137
Trades884−1181.0K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.0%
+15.1 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI9.5%
+10.5 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−6.01×
×6.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−8.60×
×9.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
+$2.8K
$83
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.4%
+111.7 pp
-90.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.7%
−32.7 pp
37.4%
Bot %3.7%
−32.2 pp
35.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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