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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 12:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$3.5K$6.7K
Holders116+2591
Trades1.0K+175859
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−2.0 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−2.0 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.12
+6.37×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.62
+6.87×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$890
−$2.4K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.10
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.5%
−122.2 pp
35.7%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.4%
−12.2 pp
55.6%
Bot %69.2%
−8.0 pp
77.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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