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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 11?

data as of 2025-12-11 05:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$526−$26K$26K
Holders46−1359
Trades362+67295
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.6%
−50.8 pp
85.4%
Avg ROI7.5%
+5.2 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.41
+3.42×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.68
+2.72×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$735
$744
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.09
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.8%
−75.5 pp
3.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+93.9 pp
5.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.8%
−5.2 pp
9.0%
Bot %40.0%
+30.8 pp
9.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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