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Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

data as of 2025-12-27 18:14 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 28, 2025Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$374−$3.3K$3.6K
Holders72+765
Trades507+214293
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.3%
−19.5 pp
46.7%
Avg ROI80.0%
+80.7 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
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██
Avg profit factor██
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██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.94
+3.95×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.13
+18.17×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
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██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$87
$87
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.31
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−98.4 pp
3.8%
Underwater %59.5%
+59.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.5%
−75.4 pp
79.8%
Bot %5.6%
−74.4 pp
80.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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