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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 12:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$23K$16K
Holders510−55565
Trades4.7K+314.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+4.1 pp
48.5%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−3.7 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−43.20×
×43.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.50
−35.70×
×36.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.1K
+$573
$13.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.07
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL87.4%
+184.8 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.6 pp
91.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.1%
+8.2 pp
33.0%
Bot %67.8%
+13.6 pp
54.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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