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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 20:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K−$5.5K$13K
Holders293+23270
Trades1.8K+2871.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
−4.3 pp
52.8%
Avg ROI6.8%
+5.9 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.59
+35.92×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.30
+30.63×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
−$3.7K
$10.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.10
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−141.1 pp
44.4%
Underwater %94.9%
+94.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
−4.1 pp
47.4%
Bot %58.7%
−7.1 pp
65.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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