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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-28 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.4K−$14K$21K
Holders320+26294
Trades3.3K+3962.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.9%
−11.1 pp
54.9%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−2.4 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.53
+5.82×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.24
+4.50×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
−$10.1K
$16.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.04
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.1%
−123.4 pp
39.3%
Underwater %86.0%
+86.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.2%
−2.4 pp
78.6%
Bot %72.4%
−9.6 pp
81.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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